Today I was afforded the opportunity to present to delegates at the 115^th Union of BC Municipalities Convention in Whistler. I focused my speech on the challenges and opportunities of global warming.

Below I reproduce the text and video of the speech. The sound quality in the video is not ideal.

Text of Speech

In the span of just a few centuries, Earth has made a transition from a past, when climate affected the evolution of human societies, to the present, in which humans are affecting the evolution of the climate system.

Today we are at a pivotal moment in human history; our generation will be responsible for deciding what path the future climate will take.

You and I, as elected officials, will either be complicit in allowing climate change to despoil our world – or we can lead the way and choose a new future.

Prior to becoming the MLA for Oak Bay – Gordon Head and the leader of the BC Green Party, I was an atmosphere/ocean/climate scientist, with a background in physics and applied mathematics at the University of Victoria. I was a Lead Author of four United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports.

When asked what I believe will be the most serious consequences of global warming I always reply with the same two answers. The first concerns the effect of global warming on the world’s natural ecosystems; the second involves global security and geopolitical instability.

I would like to speak to you about both topics, the first I will tackle as a scientist and the second as a politician.

I also want to acknowledge the challenging summer that many of you have had. I can only imagine how terrible it has been to have your communities threatened by fire. How exhausting, stressful, and traumatic it must be to be on front lines of a provincial state of emergency. I’m glad to see you all here today and grateful for the opportunity to speak to you.

In light of your experiences, I wont dwell on the topic of forest fires. You know better than anyone how serious, how costly and how uncontrollable they have become.

I will however, speak about climate change as clearly as I can. I do not aim to alarm, but need to emphasize the severity of the threat that lies ahead. We must speak about this issue in accurate terms that are often missing in government meetings, public discourse, and media coverage.

The fires of the past two summers were no surprise to the climate science community. Back in 2004, my colleagues and I published a paper in Geophysical Research Letters pointing out that we could already back then detect and attribute the increasing area burnt in Canadian forests to human-caused global warming.

We know that global warming will lead to increasing likelihood of summer drought. This in turn will lead to more and more extensive wildfires.

We know that precipitation extremes will increase and that flooding events will be on the rise.

The current state of BC’s climate is not “the new normal” as many have been saying this summer. Normal implies a plateau and consistency. We are not on a plateau; we’re on a steep trend towards increasingly extreme events. I’m sad to say, this is just the beginning and what is occurring worldwide pales in comparison as to what we have in store.

Over hundreds of millions of years, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, together with global temperatures, dropped slowly as carbon was slowly stored in the sediments of the deep ocean and the great oil, gas and coal reserves of today. Yet in the matter of just a few decades, the carbon, drawn down over many tens of millions of years is being released back to the atmosphere. In but a single generation, humans are taking atmospheric conditions back to the age of dinosaurs.

Metaphorically, we are piling more blankets on an overheating planet. The hotter it gets, the more symptoms, if you will, humans will experience.

If global emissions do not start to dramatically decline in the next few years many millions of people, including British Columbians, will be at risk from heat waves, drought, floods, storms, and wildfires. Our coasts and cities will be threatened by rising sea levels.

Sadly, tomorrow, category 4 hurricane Florence will make landfall on the coast of the Carolinas. Yes the science community has warned that global warming will lead to an increase in intense hurricanes. Yes the scientific community has warmed that sea level rise coupled with storm surges will have devastating effects on coastal communities. But are our elected leaders in North America listening?

Many ecosystems, plants, and animals will face widespread extinction.

This isn’t new information. Scientists have been speaking out for decades. And therein lies the difference between global warming and many other environmental concerns. It is the scientific community — not so-called foreign funded environmentalists ‑ who have been ringing the alarm bells.

I recognize that some chose to listen to the charlatans who tell them what they want to here, but I can assure you that the concern within the global scientific community is very real and very profound.

We are on target to take ocean acidity levels into a realm for which there is no known analogue. Most of the world’s heritage coral reef systems, including the Great Barrier reef, will become extinct this century.

In Canada, overall precipitation will increase, but it will come in fewer, more extreme events, interspersed between longer periods of drought. There will be an increased risk of flooding. And wildfire.

At the rate we are going, we are looking at between 20 and 50% of the world’s species, almost certainly including the iconic Fraser River Sockeye, becoming committed to extinction this century.

For BC the threat goes beyond wildfires and drought. Global warming is a threat to our economic well being.

Yes, climate change has some potentially horrible consequences. But there is an opportunity here too, and I think British Columbia is brave enough to seize it.

I have a vision for how BC can position itself as a leader in the 21st century economy, something that may look different for every community.

To start, BC has three strategic advantages over virtually every other region in the world.

1. The quality of life and natural environment allows us to attract and retain some of the best and brightest minds from around the globe — we are a destination of choice.
2. We have a highly skilled and educated workforce. Our high school students are consistently top ranked internationally. They are smart, well trained and they are ready to go to work.
3. We have access to renewable resources — energy, water, and wood — like no other jurisdiction. We have incredible potential to create a clean, renewable energy sector to sustain our growing economy.

To capitalize on these advantages, we need to start planning beyond the next election cycle. We need to focus on building a new economy that works for all of us — not just the privileged few. Policies must be based on principles and evidence, not political calculation and opportunism.

And governments must put people’s interests first – ahead of entrenched industry – because building healthy, safe, secure communities needs to be prioritized in a changing world.

Since the election my BC Green Caucus colleagues and I have been working closely with the NDP government to develop a clean growth strategy for BC —one that embraces climate policy as an economic strategy. Papers outlining the direction were released this summer and the first phase will start this fall.

The BC Green caucus and BC NDP both agree the development of a clean growth strategy must empower communities to identify and seize opportunities that are unique to their regions. You know your communities best.

It must be built in partnership with Indigenous peoples and bring the principles of UNDRIP into action. We will work with Indigenous communities to ensure that rights, title, lands, territories, culture, traditional knowledge and identities are protected by and included in BC’s clean growth.

I’m afraid there are no easy fixes. Dealing with global warming requires us to challenge ourselves to be bold and fundamentally reconstruct core structures of our economy and energy system.

There was a time and place where fossil fuels contributed much to human advancement. They effectively allowed us to transition our industrial practices, spur economic growth and lift people out of poverty in the western world. We can recognize the incredible value that those technologies and innovations had in that place in time, but acknowledge that we are now in a different time, with a transformed economy, and we have different sources of energy, and we need to keep progressing forward.

As such, BC Hydro needs to get out of the business of building mega power projects and focus on a new core mandate of matching consumer with producer of distributed renewable energy, while using its existing dams to stabilize load.

We need to eliminate our dependence on fossil fuels.

If international leaders believe what they signed in the Paris Agreement they will know that the agreement translates into the following statement:

There can be no new investment in fossil fuel infrastructure that will last decades into the future.

That’s because you don’t build an LNG facility today to tear it down tomorrow.

We know the world has already warmed by about 1.1°C and we have another 0.6°C warming in store as we equilibrate to existing levels of greenhouse gases. The permafrost carbon feedback adds another 0.2° or so meaning we are basically hitting 1.9°C at a minimum.

There are no other options.

I know this can be a scary and overwhelming proposition. It’s a normal human reaction to resist change and instead try to preserve the status quo. But we know where that leads. We need to start – now, not next decade – to build a new way of life. It can be a shift that provides economic opportunities like the world has never seen.

Opec’s electric vehicle forecast grew by almost 500% last year: $11.5 trillion being invested globally in new power generation capacity between 2018 and 2050, with $8.4 trillion of that going to wind and solar and a further $1.5 trillion to other zero-carbon technologies such as hydro and nuclear.

By tackling climate change seriously, with carefully designed policies, BC’s economy can grow in new ways.

We will introduce policies that help our industries become the cleanest in the world, while supporting the development of innovative climate solutions and sustainable prosperity. It is only by harnessing our strategic advantages and advancing a clear vision of a thriving economy and climate leadership that go hand in hand that we can accomplish the challenges in front of us.

We must inspire British Columbians to get involved in building this future for our province – one that sees us once again become leaders on climate policy.

We can prosper in a time of crisis. But it requires us to be honest with ourselves.

In your work and mine, it is important we keep the spotlight on the stark and alarming reality of climate change, and not to get lost in the everyday bustle or the fog of November’s rain.

The time for “yes, but” arguments – yes, but other people emit more, or yes, but other industries are worse or yes, but BC is small and this is a global problem – has passed.

We now need “yes, and” arguments. Yes, other people emit more, yes, other industries will always be worse, and yes, BC is small when compared to the world. And, yet, we still need to do our part.

And collectively we must change the way we think. Rather than doubling down on the economy of the last century and giving away the farm in a desperate attempt to land an LNG investment in Kitmat, why aren’t we doing everything we can to get Tesla to invest in a Giga factory there?

Rather than bemoaning the loss of several hundred hypothetical jobs in building a pipeline, why aren’t we doing everything we can to build our manufacturing sector in light of our boundless access to renewable energy, particularly in places like Terrace — on the rail line between Prince Rupert and Chicago — the gateway to Asia and the Eastern US.

As much as we may wish, we don’t have jurisdiction over the world. But we have influence here in B.C., where we live. And that is important.

We need to work together on this. We need to involve every community, every leader, every party, every sector, every industry, every institution, and every good idea. We need everyone to look at the area they have influence in and think about how they can make positive changes in the context of a warming world.

As I heard Chief Maureen Thomas, of the Tsleil-Waututh Nation, say a few weeks ago, “we need to come together and find a way to ensure our future generations can enjoy this world to the extent we do… [we must ask ourselves] Have I done enough to ensure the fondness of my grandchild?”.

I believe that our children and grand children will ask us one of two questions when they look back at the beginning of this century.

It will either be: “How could you let this happen?”

Or, if we choose a different path, they will ask: “How did you solve this problem when so many said you couldn’t?”

To be a climate scientist one must be an optimist. Frankly, I’ve found it helps you survive politics too. I am convinced my children will one day ask me the second question. And I will answer:

“We prevailed because we worked together. We saw the threat and we knew we had to deal with it.”

It will take great political courage and leadership to change the direction of the world — Society will have to change, technology will have to change. But embracing change is an exciting opportunity for innovation.

I believe we can do it. And I hope you do too because as I said in my opening:

You and I, as elected officials, will either be complicit in taking a wrong turn, or we can lead the way and choose a new path for our communities, for our province, for Canada and for the world. It has to start somewhere, why not here?

Thank you again for your time and all that you do for B.C.

Video of Speech