October 21, 2024 By Andrew Weaver 2 comments Affordability, Budget, Children and Family, Clean Technology, Community Blog, Economy, Education, Energy and Mines, Environment, First Nations, Health, Issues Blog, Media, Resource Development, Seniors, Social Development, Transportation, Uncategorized, Youth
Elections BC has announced the initial 2024 BC Election results and I am absolutely thrilled to see how things played out on October 19. While recounts are scheduled for two ridings where the NDP presently lead by < 100 votes (Juan de Fuca-Malahat and Surrey Centre), and about 49,000 absentee and mail-in ballots have yet to be counted, the NDP hold a one seat lead with the BC Greens once more holding the balance of power.
Embedded within the election results are some very clear messages that party leaders should heed.
First, neither the BC Conservatives nor the BC NDP received a majority suggesting:
But British Columbians have given David Eby a second chance under the watchful eyes of the BC Greens.
Second, the BC Greens were also sent a very clear message. The ecosocialist, far left direction that the present leader has taken the party did not resonate with British Columbians. The BC Green popular vote was slashed in half from the 17% obtained in 2017, the last time the BC Greens held the balance of power. And the BC Green leader was easily beaten by the BC NDP candidate in the progressive riding of Victoria-Beacon Hill.
Yet two BC Greens got elected. These were in the ridings of West Vancouver-Sea to Sky and Saanich North and the Islands. West Vancouver-Sea to Sky (and its predecessor West Vancouver-Howe Sound) has been a BC Liberal stronghold since 1991; Saanich North and the Islands was another BC Liberal stronghold since 1991 (until Adam Olsen appeared on the scene in 2013). And I was first elected as a BC Green MLA in 2013 by unseating a BC Liberal cabinet minister who had represented the riding for 17 years.
If the BC Greens want to remain relevant, they have a very clear pathway forward. And that pathway involves repositioning the party as a viable centrist option that is fiscally conservative, socially progressive and environmentally responsible. But that can only happen with a new leader at the helm who can once more inspire the centrist voters back to the party.
2 Comments
I’m always amused by these ‘the people decided’ analyses.
There are individuals who think the NDP suck but the alternatives are worse. There may even be someone who think the NDP are a good idea.
There are individuals who will vote ‘conservative’ even though the party barely exists and has no platform, just to get out the tax-everything NDP.
There are individuals who would vote green but realize this is a wasted vote. And individuals like me who will vote green even though hell will freeze over before they get in.
There was no agreement to punish the greens by removing half their votes. And any individual riding had a thousand reasons to choose that candidate – too many potholes, the mill closed, open that coal mine, the new apartment across the road is too big, the collapse of civilization, gas is too expensive.
Hello Bryan, re: “There was no agreement to punish the greens by removing half their votes.” I of course agree. Every election the NDP pull the classic “a vote for the Greens is a vote for the _____” (fill in the blank: BC Liberals or BC Conservatives). Actually a vote for a Green is a vote for a Green but the fear-based vote splitting narrative is a classic NDP strategy. In the lead up to the 2017 election, we were polling at 22% but ended up at 17% once the vote split narrative played out. In 2024 the BC Greens were polling at 10% and ended up with 8%.